Channel: Andrei Jikh

Category: Education

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Description: How the Super Bowl predicts the stock market ► Athletic Greens: athleticgreens.com/andrei ► Get up to a $250 in Digital Currency: blockfi.com/andrei ► Where I Buy Bitcoin: gemini.sjv.io/1E3dz ► My Stock Portfolio + Stock Tracker: patreon.com/andreijikh ► Get 2 FREE stocks valued up to $1850 (when you deposit $100): act.webull.com/kol-us/share.html?hl=en&inviteCode=QhhB1aDNwEDP ► MY DISCORD: discord.gg/9TVPxj73Bb ► ROBINHOOD (Get 1 Stock When You Sign Up): robinhood.c3me6x.net/c/1980551/671816/10402 ► Open A Roth IRA: m1finance.8bxp97.net/c/1980551/696710/10646 ► Follow Me On Instagram: instagram.com/andreijikh ► How I Protect My Bitcoin: shop.ledger.com/pages/ledger-nano-x?r=535643c13ab0 My PO Box: Andrei Jikh 4132 S. Rainbow Blvd # 270 Las Vegas, NV 89103 HOW DOES THE SUPER BOWL PREDICT STOCK MARKETS? This was originally discovered in 1978 by a guy named Leonard Kopett - this is called the “Super Bowl Indicator”. It says the stock market goes up for the entire year when the winning team comes from the NFC. But, when the winners of the Super Bowl is a team from the AFC, the stock market goes down for the rest of the year. HOW ACCURATE "INVESTMENT ADVICE"? the first 27 Super Bowls that were ever held, were insanely accurate in predicting the markets. Between 1967 and 1994, whenever an AFC team won, the stock market lost 2.1% on average. But, whenever a team from the NFC won the Super Bowl, the stock market averaged a return of 12.3%. if those numbers still looked like that today, it would be worth making your investment decisions around. But there's a catch. WHAT'S THE CATCH? The new data. Between 1967 to 2021 - whenever the national football conference has won that’s the NFC, the S&P500 which is this stock right here - has returned a 10.8% return on average and when they’ve won, the stock market has been positive 79.3% of the time, that’s pretty incredible. This means if you’re an investor in the stock market, based on historical evidence, you’d want the LA Rams to win this Sunday because whenever a team from the other side has won - the AFC, the stock market returned an average of 7.1% and historically the stock market has been up “only” 65.4% of the time so it’s a little less. HOW DOES THIS WORK? It doesn't. The stock market has been positive 10 out of the last 11 years whenever an AFC team has won and this is because we’ve been on a bull run for over 10 years now, so it’s very easy to look at almost anything and say that it’s been an accurate predictor because the market has done so well and you could have found virtually any correlation. Over time, the data will be closer to 50/50 between AFC and NFC teams. This is true if we look at the more recent years between 1995 and 2021. AFC teams winning returned an average of 12.7%, and NFC teams winning returned an average of 17.2%, not quite 50/50 but eventually we will close the gap. Not to mention that in 2008 when the New York Giants won the super bowl (which is an “NFC” team) it was supposed to predict the stock market to go up, but instead we got the 2008 financial crisis. So if this was Mythbusters, this myth is busted. ARE THERE ANY OTHER INVESTING MYTHS? YES! A lot. Here are a few. JANUARY EFFECT Between the years 1984 to 2000, the best month in the market was December with an average monthly return of 2.62%. The second best month was January at 2.48%. So that seems like the theory holds true, January is a good month. But hold on, because if you tried to invest into the market on January 1st, and you held it for the whole month and then you sold everything on January 31st and held cash for the entire year, then over the next 17 years - from 2000 to 2017, the data shows you would have lost an average of 0.84% per year. So it’s not really a good idea to time the market using the January effect. One of these myths actually does predict the market reliably well - it's called Sell in May and Go Away. Watch the video to learn more! *None of this is meant to be construed as investment advice, it's for entertainment purposes only. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites. The video is accurate as of the posting date but may not be accurate in the future. SOURCES: lplresearch.com/2022/02/09/do-stocks-want-the-bengals-or-rams-to-win schaeffersresearch.com/content/analysis/2022/02/09/a-lesson-in-randomness-via-the-super-bowl-indicator investopedia.com/terms/s/superbowlindicator.asp mathinvestor.org/2018/01/can-the-january-effect-be-exploited-in-the-market fidelity.com/viewpoints/active-investor/january-barometer extradash.com/en/strategies/models/2/best-six-months #athleticgreens