Channel: Pecos Hank

Category: Science & Technology

Tags: forecasting weather for kidshow to forecast tornadoeshonkytonkbloodtornadotornadoesforecastforecasting the weatherohio university meteorology symposiumforecasting methodsforecating techniquestornado forecasthow to forecast weatherohio universitytornado forecast 2018hrrr weather modelforecasting tornadoesgfs weather modelweather modelhrrrpecos hank

Description: Applying the HRRR weather model to storm chasing. How I used the HRRR to forecast several tornado events. Lecture at the 2018 Ohio University Meteorological Symposium. While trying to forecast tornadoes, there’s a ton of data, computer models, imagery and atmosphere layers to analyze. After you choose a target area, you can check several weather models to see if and how precipitation might occur in the region you think is most favorable. One of the computer models that I use to see precipitation forecasts is the HRRR (“HER”). The HRRR It’s a high resolution model that I use to help time storm initiation, predict cell motions and decipher what kind of storms might occur. But how accurate is the HRRR? In this lecture, I show how I used the HRRR to forecast several tornado events. Purchase Pecos Hank storm prints... pecoshank.com/storm-photography Support This Channel... patreon.com/pecoshank PECOS HANK T SHIRTS & MUGS pecos-hank-store.creator-spring.com GLOSSARY Cap - see "Temperature Inversion" CG - Cloud - to - Ground lightning Cu Field- Abbreviation for Cumulus field. Indicating instability beginning and possible storm development. EML (Elevated Mixed Layer) - In the United states, a layer of hot dry air originating from the desert southwest and overspreading the Plains to the East and further. This layer in the atmosphere is often associated with a temperature inversion or "cap." GOES (Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite) - Simply put, "images of clouds from space" Initiation - Initial thunderstorm development MCS - Mesoscale Convective System. Big gnarly storm complex or cluster. Usually tracking across a region. Temperature Inversion - A layer of warmer air that can inhibit thunderstorm development or lock in energy and set the stage for explosive thunderstorm development. A temperature inversion in the lower atmosphere is often called a "cap."